Friday, October 28, 2011

Bullish Thoughts: Police Bicycles cause increase in public beer drinking


Bullish Thoughts: Police Bicycles cause increase in public beer drinking

Bullish Thoughts looks at tries that were scored in the closing match of the “IRB World Cup’ …oops... Premiership … in the match between Man City & Man U, says nothing really useful on equity financing, wonders who the government structured finance/ business restructuring adviser is and notes the increased volume of shareholder profile changes.




IRB inspires Man City…

Since high school, Bullish Thoughts has always known that open foot challenge is a straight red card. That it continues to happen in high profile games by high profile players irks.

Bullish Thoughts is a Blues fan. After the noisy neighbours  probably inspired by the IRB World Cup final earlier that day handed the red devils a rugby score-line Sunday with “tries” from Balotelli and company, the Blues were surely tipped to go second.

Unfortunately, the blues saw red. And Bullish Thoughts could not recover that Sunday, the Monday an only got better Tuesday night.

Hence the delays in the series publication.

Enough about soccer!

Hair raising capital raising initiatives…

It’s quite interesting to see that Kingdom did make some progress in its capital raising initiatives.  There was a 55.6% subscription to the $4.5m rights offer. The institution has now commenced a $7.5m private placement which will close end of November 2011.

On the other hand, there seems to be no adequate trust in Trust Holdings by investors as the FI is reported to be still negotiating with South African investors for the sale of 25% equity in the business.

In insurance, AFRE’s $15m recapitalisation plan for its subsidiaries has been further delayed, owing to the deferment of an EGM set to approve the capital raising.

Hopefully, all these FIs will find the necessary equity support “timeously” lest JM may become the new buzz word especially where there is no tangible progress in raising equity.

Who advises on government transactions…

Government’s plan to reverse an initial agreement to transfer 90% of mineral rights held by Buchwa Iron Mining Company to Essar Africa Holdings threatens to scuttle the $750m Ziscosteel deal.

Bullish Thoughts can only ask: Who was the government adviser here or the political scientist/professor was a know it all and mortgaged Buchwa behind H.E.’s back?

Foot-in-Mouth…

First we take Botswana condemned cattle and slaughter them at CSC. The same meat has been banned in the preferential EU market because of fears about the foot & mouth disease.

After risking our healthy, the Zimbabwe-Botswana Bilateral Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement hangs in balance after Gaborone demanded non-government participation in the disbursement and management of the $70m in lines of credit.

The question Bullish Thoughts has for you is whether this is genuine fear by the Gaborone government that some people in Harare will line their pockets or its politics at plays?

Bullish Thoughts is confused but his gut says it’s the capitalist fearing loss of his money. Never mind return on investment, we are talking return of capital here!


Interesting transactions on ZSE…

Shareholder reshuffle is now dominant phenomena on the ZSE  with significant stakes exchanging hands through special bargain trades as shareholders also restructure their own balance sheets. This month alone there were 4 such trades in Natfoods (11.7%), TN (1.22%), ABCH (3.42%) and the latest being Pelhams (35.8%). Word has it that TN probably took Oliver Chidawo’s shareholding in Pelhams. Bullish Thoughts can’t comment as yet until more info comes but if his assumptions are correct, Pelhams or Bradlows, are likely to be the high brands of TN Harlequin.

Just wondering though whose name, the couches will be named after!

Police Bicycle patrols a social scourge...?


A colleague put up this FB post:

‎"I applaud Delta for donating bicycles to the Police. Which means less public drinking; which means less sales for Delta beer; which means low profit for Delta; which means no bicycles for Police next year; which means more public drinking; which means..."



Invest Wisely!


**The author of this report does not hold shares in any of the companies discussed/ mentioned in this report.

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